Politics Prediction Markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

67%

Flávio Bolsonaro

27%

Renan Santos

7%

Ratinho Júnior

2%

Jair Bolsonaro

2%

Camilo Santana

1%

Romeu Zema

1%

Ronaldo Caiado

1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

1%

Fernando Haddad

1%

Tarcisio de Freitas

1%

$2.2M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

Gavin Newsom

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Jon Ossoff

14%

Kamala Harris

9%

Alex Padilla

6%

Josh Stein

6%

Adam Schiff

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Graham Platner

6%

Ro Khanna

6%

Barack Obama

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Mark Kelly

6%

Rahm Emanuel

5%

Michelle Obama

5%

Mark Cuban

5%

Andy Beshear

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Stephen A. Smith

5%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Pete Buttigieg

5%

Kim Kardashian

3%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

James Talarico

2%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Oprah Winfrey

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Jared Polis

2%

John Fetterman

2%

Roy Cooper

2%

Gina Raimondo

2%

Tim Walz

2%

Cory Booker

2%

Raphael Warnock

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Zohran Mamdani

1%

$238K Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yield

JD Vance

21%

Marco Rubio

13%

Gavin Newsom

13%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11%

Jon Ossoff

10%

Kamala Harris

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Ron DeSantis

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

4%

Donald Trump

4%

Pete Buttigieg

4%

Thomas Massie

3%

Michelle Obama

3%

Ivanka Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Tucker Carlson

3%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

3%

LeBron James

3%

Andy Beshear

3%

Josh Shapiro

3%

Tom Cotton

3%

Alex Padilla

3%

Adam Schiff

3%

James Talarico

2%

Ro Khanna

2%

Jamie Dimon

2%

Zohran Mamdani

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tim Walz

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

JB Pritzker

2%

Stephen Smith

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Rick Scott

2%

John N. Kennedy

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Mike Johnson

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Josh Stein

2%

Elissa Slotkin

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Eric Trump

1%

Jalen Brunson

1%

$580K Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yield

0 (0 bps)

85%

1 (25 bps)

10%

2 (50 bps)

5%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

1%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$9.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Yield

Democratic Party

45%

Republican Party

56%

$270K Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

J.D. Vance

44%

Marco Rubio

24%

Rick Scott

6%

John N. Kennedy

6%

Donald Trump

5%

Eric Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Erika Kirk

3%

Ivanka Trump

3%

Elon Musk

3%

Ron DeSantis

3%

Donald Trump Jr.

3%

Tom Cotton

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Mike Johnson

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Joe Kent

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

2%

Steve Bannon

2%

Rand Paul

2%

Tom Brady

2%

Tucker Carlson

2%

Mike Pence

2%

Kristi Noem

2%

John Thune

2%

Katie Britt

2%

Matt Gaetz

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Josh Hawley

2%

Elise Stefanik

2%

Byron Donalds

2%

Brian Kemp

2%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

$38,789 Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yield

Yulia Navalnaya

9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

8%

UNRWA

6%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

4%

Pope Leo XIV

3%

Donald Trump

3%

Narendra Modi

2%

Mohammed bin Salman

2%

Charlie Kirk

2%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

2%

Xi Jinping

2%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

2%

Khaled Mashal

2%

Vladimir Putin

2%

António Guterres

2%

International Court of Justice

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Greta Thunberg

2%

Julian Assange

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

1%

$181K Vol

Oct 10 @ 12:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

45%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

39%

Republicans Sweep

13%

Other

1%

$9.5M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Next French Presidential Election

Yield

Marine Le Pen

31%

Édouard Philippe

27%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

13%

Gabriel Attal

4%

Jordan Bardella

4%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Sarah Knafo

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Valérie Pécresse

3%

Michel Barnier

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Ségolène Royal

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Fabien Roussel

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

Raphaël Glucksmann

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

David Lisnard

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Éric Zemmour

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

François Baroin

1%

$1,995 Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Yield

4%

96%

$351K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Yield

6%

94%

$3.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Yield

Nicolás Maduro

81%

Richard Grenell

71%

Delcy Rodríguez

11%

Dan Caine

4%

Marco Rubio

4%

Vladimir Padrino López

4%

María Corina Machado

3%

Edmundo González

3%

No Head of State

2%

Jorge Rodríguez

2%

Dinorah Figuera

2%

Frank Donovan

1%

Evan Pettus

1%

Pete Hegseth

1%

Donald Trump

1%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

1%

$63,285 Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

California Governor Election Winner

Yield

Xavier Becerra

94%

Steve Hilton

3%

Elaine Culotti

1%

Matt Mahan

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

Tom Steyer

1%

Eric Swalwell

1%

Nicole Shanahan

1%

Leo Zacky

1%

Michael Younger

1%

Tony Thurmond

1%

Daniel Mercuri

1%

Eleni Kounalakis

1%

Chad Bianco

1%

Kyle Langford

1%

Toni Atkins

1%

Betty Yee

1%

Butch Ware

1%

Stephen Cloobeck

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

1%

Katie Porter

1%

Alex Padilla

1%

Rick Caruso

1%

$253K Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yield

6%

94%

$241K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yield

16%

84%

$52,983 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yield

41%

59%

$444K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM